Poverty and Vulnerability in Mozambique: An Analysis of Dynamics and Correlates in Light of the Covid-19 Crisis Using Synthetic Panels

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This study aims at providing new insights into poverty, vulnerability, and their correlates in Mozambique, applying synthetic panels techniques and expanding on earlier analyses. Our results suggest that there is a high degree of poverty immobility, especially in rural areas in the northern and central regions and for low- educated people. Even nonpoor households are at a high risk to vulnerability, and this risk does not differ much for households in urban/rural areas or in different regions or with different education levels. We also observe that a large portion of the population remains in or out of poverty over the entire year, with a higher percentage of individuals moving into poverty between the dry and the rainy seasons and a nonnegligible proportion of vulnerable people not managing to revert to nonpoverty in the subsequent dry season. Overall, these findings are highly relevant for designing anti- poverty policies and strategies, as they provide information on intra- year shocks and on some of the characteristics related to upward and downward mobility over longer time spans, also with regard to the recent Covid- 19 and other recent shocks suffered by the country.
Original languageEnglish
JournalReview of Development Economics
Volume25
Issue number4
Pages (from-to)1895-1918
Number of pages24
ISSN1363-6669
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2021

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